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Saturday, 24 September 2011

Box Office: 'Lion King' Pacing to Beat 'Moneyball,' Reclaim Throne

A crowded bunch of new releases hitting theaters Friday, but Brad Pitt's "Moneyball" came out on top Friday with $6.8 million. The baseball drama earned excellent reviews and has some in the media talking Academy Award nomination for Pitt. That may be a bit premature, but Sony Pictures will be more than happy if the Bennett Miller directed flick hits the higher range of an estimated $18-20 million for the weekend.


Two family films are right behind "Moneyball" making the weekend's actual winner still very much up in the air. "The Lion King" found a surprising $6.1 million for no. 2 on Friday and an expected $20 million for the three-day. That would give the 1994 classic another $60 million in this limited 3-D run.


Alcon Entertainment's "Dolphin Tale" grossed $5.1 million for third, somewhat lower than expected. The 3D film should have a stronger Saturday, but it's hard to see it hitting the $20 million mark polling had indicated. But, "Dolphin" tale wasn't the only film to open under expectations.


At one point several years ago, of course, the prospects for this film actually being made were about as bleak as the mathematically eliminated A's making this year's MLB playoffs.


Indeed, the movie has played its extra innings and then some, with Sony pulling the plug on original director Steven Soderbergh in 2009 over creative differences, before bringing it back and putting in the mits of director Bennett Miller and writer Aaron Sorkin.


Not swimming as far to get into theaters, but projected to open in the $16 million - $18 million range, Warner's "Dolphin Tale 3D" comes from Alcon Entertainment, the same production company that put together the sleeper hit "The Blind Side" two years ago.


Also read: Baseball Fanatics Wonder: Is 'Moneyball' Fair or Foul?


Starring Harry Connick Jr., Morgan Freeman, Ashley Judd and Kris Kristofferson, the film was inspired by a true story that occurred at Florida's Clearwater Marine Aquiarium, in which a dolphin who lost a tail in a crab trap (no, that's not a Charlie Sheen roast joke) has its life saved when a local team of do-gooders develops a prosthetic.


With the film shot on a budget of around $37 million, more than a few box office watchers have compared it to Sony's surprise hit "Soul Surfer" -- which had similar themes, but is all mixed up species-wise. In that film, a surfer girl needing a prosthetic arm after getting it eaten by a shark.


But you get the point. Both PG films have similar uplifting spirits, and like "Sould Surfer," Warner is targeting spiritual groups with its marketing.


Reviews for "Dolphin Tale" are coming in at a solid 85 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, with 40 percent of females from all age groups telling NRG they have definite interest in seeing the film and 12 percent describing it as their first choice.


Meanwhile, projected to open in the $13 million - $15 million range, pro-killer extravaganza "Killer Elite" arrives from its Australian production roots with a bit of market confusion.


The R-rated film is not a remake of Sam Peckinpah's 1975 movie "The Killer Elite." (And given the disappointing $5.1 million opening endured by a real Peckinpah remake just last weekend, Sony's "Straw Dogs," that may not be a bad thing.)


In fact, the new "Killer Elite" is based on a 1991 novel, "The Feather Men," written by a former SAS operative, Sir Ranulph Fiennes. The author billed the story of a rag-tag group of former SAS men who save their former leader from an angry sheik as being a true story, but its veracity has been largely debunked.


Also read: Review: Even With Robert De Niro, 'Killer' Isn't So Elite


Shot by Australia's Omnilab Media -- the company behind 2008 Statham film "The Bank Job" -- "Killer Elite" got much of the film's $70 million budget from the Aussie government. It is being distributed in the U.S. by Open Road.


That's the distributor jointly formed by distributors AMC and Regal Entertainment, and headed by former Lionsgate distribution and marketing executive Tom Ortenberg.


Scoring only 37 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, "Killer Elite" most assuredly doesn't have critical buzz around it. But thanks to its rather disingenuous marketing, it does come with the impression that Robert De Niro is a co-star in the film, even though he only dropped by the movie's Melbourne set for a 10-minute cameo.


According to NRG, 46 percent of men express definite interest in seeing "Killer Elite," with 15 percent calling it their first choice. Total awareness among men is only around 68 percent, however.


Finally, Lionsgate spent about $35 million to shoot "Abduction," a PG-13 film starring Lautner as a suburban teen whose life is upended when he finds a archive picture of an abducted youngster on the internet that looks just like him. (The obvious questions emerge: Who am I? Who gave birth to these marvelous pectoral muscles? Everything I know is wrong! Etc, etc.)


Also read: Review: 'Abduction' Is Hitchcock Lite ... With Lautner Lite


Hinjinks, of course, ensues when an army of gun-totting operatives pounces, forcing Lautner to use "Bourne Identity" skill sets he didn't even know he had. Lily Collins, Alfred Molina, Jason Isaacs, Maria Bello, Michael Nyqvist and Sigourney Weaver lend their much-needed supporting chops.


With John Singleton directing his first film since 2005's "Four Brothers," reviews have been universally terrible for "Abduction." In fact, they were at the "Bucky Larson" level, 0 percent, as of late-day Thursday.


Musician Shawn Christensen wrote the script for "Abduction" on spec and Lionsgate scored a bidding war for it back in February 2010.


The pre-release call is for around $13 million - $15 million for "Abduction," with 43 percent of women under 25 saying they have definite interest in seeing the film and 12 percent calling it their first choice, according to NRG.


Related Articles: Review: 'Moneyball' Knocks It Out of the Park Can 'Moneyball' Hit a Box-Office Home Run If the A's Stink? Baseball Fanatics Wonder: Is 'Moneyball' Fair or Foul?

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